Political Research and Analysis
Predictive data modelling can dramatically improve a political or business organization’s ability to identify, target, communicate and persuade voters or consumers.
Predictive data modeling and analytics encompasses a variety of statistical techniques from modeling, machine learning, and data mining that analyze current and historical facts, individual behavior and decision making to make predictions about future events and outcomes. In politics predictive data models are very useful predicting an individual’s candidate or issue preferences. Other common models predict the likelihood of a voter to vote, or how they evaluate and choose a candidate to support.
Voter Research Management (VRM) Consulting provides Baseline survey, Opinion Poll & Exit Poll survey for the politician irrespective of opinion polls which helps to study the voters’ mood (much before elections) based on following parameters.
Voter Research Management (VRM) Consulting through its door to door survey provides in depth and flow less information about every household mainly on the following parameters
In this, the raw data from the field is compiled and a detailed research is conducted to co relate various factors with respect to the past election results. A comprehensive SWOT analysis is carried out and the focused and highlighted area is shortlisted to be taken up further. The total analysis divides the constituencies in four groups, i.e., “Strong” constituencies, “Weak” constituencies, “Threatened” constituencies and “Opportune” constituencies. A comparison between the strength of the individual vis a vis strength of the parties is carried out.
Voter Research Management (VRM) provides constituency profiling Polling Booth wise Political Analysis of a constituency including caste and community composition, List of Sympathizer, SWOT Analysis, Local issues, election results and voter profiles.
The Constituency Profile is accompanied by an analysis of last election results to understand which community voted how much (turnout) and for who (party affiliation). A SWOT Analysis of Polling Booths is also done and areas of opportunity are identified.
The Profiling is typically useful incumbent and Aspiring Political Leaders who are looking to fight the election from a particular constituency.
Voter Research Management (VRM) Consulting conducts Opinion Poll to analyze the present voter mood in the early phase of election so strategy can be formulated in order to win the election by the candidate or political party by deploying VRM consulting state of the art stratified random sampling methodology and analytical approach. A real time reporting of the data is made possible. The data being gathered at booth level across the constituency or state.
It has been determined that only approximately 946 out of 1000 eligible voters are registered in a polling booth and instead of that we can find 10000-15000 fake voters are present in the voter list. Voter Research Management (VRM) as a pioneer provides a distinctive solutions to spot on voter list for its client through door to door voter counting and matching it with the provided voter list, name and address correction, dead/shifted voter marking, amendment or new voter addition.
Voter Research Management (VRM) Consulting has come up with low cost flawless political polling which enables political parties, Media and corporate to understand the future voting trend and calculate the win-ability of political party. This is accomplished through trend analysis by utilizing profound mathematical and statistical technique that uses historical result to predict future outcome. It can be achieved by tracking vote split, vote swing, and vote shift.
Any Political party cannot win election based on its own image, it also need to declare a candidate which has strong public contact, good image, credibility and well supported by Sympathizers and party workers. To select a right candidate for a party, VRM deals into Win-Ability Analysis by conducting grass-root survey that gives a right and appropriate candidate from the group of aspiring candidates, taking into consideration the opposition party’s candidate as well.
